sitmap.live

Corrections, verification and audit log

Every report on sitmap.live carries a verification state, and states change.

Unofficial · verify before acting

This event

UKMTO reports projectile hit tanker in Arabian Gulf, multiple crew injured is now Confirmed. Changed 2 times.

  1. First rated Unverified
  2. Unverified to Single source
  3. Single source to Confirmed

Verification describes the available evidence, not certainty that an event occurred. A change of state is a new rating on newer reports or rules, not a retraction.

Marked disputed or debunked

Reports that sources contradict (disputed) stay on the map and in this list, for the record; a report judged false (debunked) is taken off the map and not repeated here, so its claim does not spread.

Verification, last 30 days

11,813settled incidents
209still settling (under 12 h)
205disputed now
0debunked, still shown
4debunked and taken down
524withdrawn

Incidents by state, the last 12 hours left out while they settle: a state says how well sourced a report is, not how true.

Confirmed3143%
Corroborated1,0959%
Single source6,27253%
Unverified3,92733%
Disputed2052%
Debunked00%

The chart counts incidents still on the map. A debunked report is taken off the map when it is judged false, so its bar counts only one that is still shown, and reads 0 even when some were debunked. 4 reports were debunked and taken down in these 30 days; they are among the 524 withdrawn, and not named here. A report is debunked only when the review can point to what a claim itself says or shows (for example recycled footage, a retraction, or an impossible place or time); a doubt that cites no claim is shown as a warning, not a debunk, so debunks are rare.

Not counted: 1,850 leads (aggregator reposts that name no source).

Withdrawn events (merged, out of scope, removed on review or debunked) are not listed; when an event we posted on X is later disputed, debunked or withdrawn, the post gets a reply saying so.

Do early reports hold up?

Every event on the map starts as one report. These are all 7,256 events first reported since 2026-10-26 (leaving out the last 12 hours, too recent to judge), by where each stands now.

1,023corroborated or confirmed
19rated up with no new source
92disputed or debunked
355withdrawn
3,983single source
1,784unverified

1,023 (14%) were corroborated by an independent source or confirmed, a median of 2 hours after the first report. 19 (under 1%) reached corroborated or confirmed only when the same reports were rated again (changed rules or ratings, or a new review), with no new source: they are not counted as having held up. 92 (1%) were contradicted: marked disputed or debunked. 355 (5%) were withdrawn as out of scope or on review. 3,983 (55%) rest on one credible source, and 1,784 (25%) on no credible source: anonymous or partisan channels only, however many. Neither group has been confirmed or contradicted, which does not make them wrong.

Not counted: 1,123 leads, reposts by aggregator channels that name no source.

Audit log

Each change of state, newest first, in UTC, with why it changed; withdrawn events are not named, and recording began 2026-10-26 19:13 UTC.

Since 2026-10-26: 1,424 moves up to corroborated or confirmed on new reports or evidence; besides, 109 reclassified by changes to the rules, ratings or settings (changes to the rules); 28 by the automated review or on review; 13 re-ratings of the same reports whose cause was not recorded. 266 moves down a level.

  1. US military aircraft reportedly issues distress alert off Oman coastSingle source to Disputednew report
  2. Israeli strike reportedly hits area of Deir al-Balah in central Gaza StripUnverified to Corroboratednew report
  3. Israeli drone reportedly bombs fishing boats off Shati Camp, GazaSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  4. Israeli air strike hits Ghubain family home in Daraj, Gaza City; three reportedly killedSingle source to Confirmednew report
  5. Airstrike reported on Kfar Tibnit in Nabatieh, Lebanon, attributed to Israeli forcesUnverified to Corroboratednew report
  6. UKMTO reports projectile hit tanker in Arabian Gulf, multiple crew injuredSingle source to Confirmednew report
  7. IDF strike on Hamas in a Gaza hospital reported; seven reportedly killed in Israeli attacksSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  8. A withdrawn eventUnverified to Single sourceautomated review
  9. Israeli strikes reported near Ali al-Taher ridge toward Kafr Tibnit, South LebanonSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  10. Ras Al Khaimah reopens beaches closed after tanker oil spillCorroborated to Single sourcenew report

Changes to the rules

When the rules change, stored events are rated again on the same reports: a reclassification, not new evidence, counted apart above.

  1. Party rule. A party's statement about its own strikes, its interceptions or the enemy's losses no longer confirms an event; a neutral body, an authority's own record or an admission against interest still does.0 up, 61 down
  2. Strong-origin corroboration. An established or stronger origin plus any second independent one corroborates (before, the weights had to add up to 1.2); the stored weak events with two or more origins were rated again.106 up, 0 down

Air-traffic signals withdrawn or lowered

Drops in air traffic are detected by machine from ADS-B counts; one that rests on poor receiver coverage, or claims more than its evidence allows, is withdrawn or lowered.

  1. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-08 05:52 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 19, lowest 17) for high confidence
  2. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-06 22:35 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 16, lowest 4 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  3. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-06 20:05 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 17, lowest 3 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  4. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-02 22:35 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 19, lowest 14) for high confidence
  5. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-02 22:35 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 29, lowest 8) for high confidence
  6. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-10-31 20:24 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 12, lowest 4 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  7. Qatar airspace, drop detected 2026-10-30 09:57 UTCConfidence high to mediumNo airspace closure notice in force covers it, and a fall in the aircraft counted entering a FIR is never high confidence alone
  8. Iraq airspace, drop detected 2026-10-30 12:36 UTCWithdrawnOur receivers' coverage of the Baghdad FIR (ORBB) is thin: 69% of the polls over the 7 days before saw no aircraft inside it. A fall in the aircraft counted there is not evidence of a closure

Page built 2026-11-12 12:59 UTC · Last updated 2026-11-12 12:59 UTC · Read at 2026-11-12 12:55 UTC