sitmap.live

Corrections, verification and audit log

Every report on sitmap.live carries a verification state, and states change.

Unofficial · verify before acting

This event

Israeli strike hits Nasser Hospital; Israeli sources say Hamas commander Abu Ismail survived is now Corroborated. Changed 2 times.

  1. First rated Unverified
  2. Unverified to Single source
  3. Single source to Corroborated

Verification describes the available evidence, not certainty that an event occurred. A change of state is a new rating on newer reports or rules, not a retraction.

Marked disputed or debunked

Reports that sources contradict (disputed) stay on the map and in this list, for the record; a report judged false (debunked) is taken off the map and not repeated here, so its claim does not spread.

Reviewed by a person

A person reads events on the site with the reports behind them, and marks each one reviewed or sets it aside. A review says a person read it; the verification state is still set by the rules in the methodology.

Verification, last 30 days

11,838settled incidents
273still settling (under 12 h)
136disputed now
0debunked, still shown
5debunked and taken down
559withdrawn

Incidents by state, the last 12 hours left out while they settle: a state says how well sourced a report is, not how true.

Confirmed3523%
Corroborated1,26211%
Single source6,50855%
Unverified3,58030%
Disputed1361%
Debunked00%

The chart counts incidents still on the map. A debunked report is taken off the map when it is judged false, so its bar counts only one that is still shown, and reads 0 even when some were debunked. 5 reports were debunked and taken down in these 30 days; they are among the 559 withdrawn, and not named here. A report is debunked only when the review can point to what a claim itself says or shows (for example recycled footage, a retraction, or an impossible place or time); a doubt that cites no claim is shown as a warning, not a debunk, so debunks are rare.

Not counted: 1,875 leads (aggregator reposts that name no source).

Withdrawn events (merged, out of scope, removed on review or debunked) are not listed; when an event we posted on X is later disputed, debunked or withdrawn, the post gets a reply saying so.

Do early reports hold up?

Every event on the map starts as one report. These are all 8,814 events first reported since 2026-10-26 (leaving out the last 12 hours, too recent to judge), by where each stands now.

1,317corroborated or confirmed
21rated up with no new source
107disputed or debunked
407withdrawn
4,871single source
2,091unverified

1,317 (15%) were corroborated by an independent source or confirmed, a median of 2 hours after the first report. 21 (under 1%) reached corroborated or confirmed only when the same reports were rated again (changed rules or ratings, or a new review), with no new source: they are not counted as having held up. 107 (1%) were contradicted: marked disputed or debunked. 407 (5%) were withdrawn as out of scope or on review. 4,871 (55%) rest on one credible source, and 2,091 (24%) on no credible source: anonymous or partisan channels only, however many. Neither group has been confirmed or contradicted, which does not make them wrong.

Not counted: 1,298 leads, reposts by aggregator channels that name no source.

Audit log

Each change of state, newest first, in UTC, with why it changed; withdrawn events are not named, and recording began 2026-10-26 19:13 UTC.

Since 2026-10-26: 1,785 moves up to corroborated or confirmed on new reports or evidence; besides, 109 reclassified by changes to the rules, ratings or settings (changes to the rules); 35 by the automated review or on review; 13 re-ratings of the same reports whose cause was not recorded. 316 moves down a level.

  1. Iran's navy and IRGC say oil tankers hit mines and caught fire in Strait of HormuzDisputed to Corroboratednew report
  2. Israeli strike hits Nasser Hospital; Israeli sources say Hamas commander Abu Ismail survivedSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  3. Israeli artillery reportedly shells localities in south Lebanon, including Beni HaiyaneSingle source to Unverifiednew report
  4. Colonel Saleh Mohammed Hassan Murad reportedly killed by Houthis on Marib frontSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  5. Hamas says 1,647 killed and 5,969 wounded in Gaza since October 2025 ceasefireUnverified to Corroboratednew report
  6. Air raid sirens reportedly sound in BahrainSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  7. Israeli artillery reportedly fires on Kfar Tibnit in south LebanonSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  8. Saudi-led coalition says it intercepted two Houthi ballistic missiles aimed at RiyadhCorroborated to Disputednew report
  9. Iran's navy and IRGC say oil tankers hit mines and caught fire in Strait of HormuzSingle source to Disputednew report
  10. Houthis reportedly advance to within 60 km of Aden, military sources saySingle source to Corroboratednew report

Changes to the rules

When the rules change, stored events are rated again on the same reports: a reclassification, not new evidence, counted apart above.

  1. Party rule. A party's statement about its own strikes, its interceptions or the enemy's losses no longer confirms an event; a neutral body, an authority's own record or an admission against interest still does.0 up, 61 down
  2. Strong-origin corroboration. An established or stronger origin plus any second independent one corroborates (before, the weights had to add up to 1.2); the stored weak events with two or more origins were rated again.106 up, 0 down

Air-traffic signals withdrawn or lowered

Drops in air traffic are detected by machine from ADS-B counts; one that rests on poor receiver coverage, or claims more than its evidence allows, is withdrawn or lowered.

  1. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-15 00:00 UTCConfidence medium to lowNot judged since 01:31 UTC: too few aircraft are expected in this hour to tell whether traffic came back
  2. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-15 00:00 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 17, lowest 3 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  3. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-13 15:28 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 21, lowest 3 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  4. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-13 15:28 UTCConfidence medium to lowNot judged since 01:38 UTC: too few aircraft are expected in this hour to tell whether traffic came back
  5. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-08 05:52 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 19, lowest 17) for high confidence
  6. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-06 22:35 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 16, lowest 4 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  7. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-06 20:05 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 17, lowest 3 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  8. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-02 22:35 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 19, lowest 14) for high confidence
  9. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-02 22:35 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 29, lowest 8) for high confidence
  10. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-10-31 20:24 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 12, lowest 4 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  11. Qatar airspace, drop detected 2026-10-30 09:57 UTCConfidence high to mediumNo airspace closure notice in force covers it, and a fall in the aircraft counted entering a FIR is never high confidence alone
  12. Iraq airspace, drop detected 2026-10-30 12:36 UTCWithdrawnOur receivers' coverage of the Baghdad FIR (ORBB) is thin: 69% of the polls over the 7 days before saw no aircraft inside it. A fall in the aircraft counted there is not evidence of a closure

Page built 2026-11-15 23:15 UTC · Last updated 2026-11-15 23:15 UTC · Read at 2026-11-15 23:14 UTC · served from a copy 4 min old