sitmap.live

Corrections, verification and audit log

Every report on sitmap.live carries a verification state, and states change.

Unofficial · verify before acting

This event

Iraqi forces say airstrike near Kirkuk killed three suspected Islamic State militants is now Corroborated. Changed 2 times.

  1. First rated Unverified
  2. Unverified to Single source
  3. Single source to Corroborated

Verification describes the available evidence, not certainty that an event occurred. A change of state is a new rating on newer reports or rules, not a retraction.

Marked disputed or debunked

Reports that sources contradict (disputed) stay on the map and in this list, for the record; a report judged false (debunked) is taken off the map and not repeated here, so its claim does not spread.

Verification, last 30 days

11,804settled incidents
299still settling (under 12 h)
178disputed now
0debunked, still shown
5debunked and taken down
540withdrawn

Incidents by state, the last 12 hours left out while they settle: a state says how well sourced a report is, not how true.

Confirmed3223%
Corroborated1,16810%
Single source6,36654%
Unverified3,77032%
Disputed1782%
Debunked00%

The chart counts incidents still on the map. A debunked report is taken off the map when it is judged false, so its bar counts only one that is still shown, and reads 0 even when some were debunked. 5 reports were debunked and taken down in these 30 days; they are among the 540 withdrawn, and not named here. A report is debunked only when the review can point to what a claim itself says or shows (for example recycled footage, a retraction, or an impossible place or time); a doubt that cites no claim is shown as a warning, not a debunk, so debunks are rare.

Not counted: 1,882 leads (aggregator reposts that name no source).

Withdrawn events (merged, out of scope, removed on review or debunked) are not listed; when an event we posted on X is later disputed, debunked or withdrawn, the post gets a reply saying so.

Do early reports hold up?

Every event on the map starts as one report. These are all 7,856 events first reported since 2026-10-26 (leaving out the last 12 hours, too recent to judge), by where each stands now.

1,135corroborated or confirmed
20rated up with no new source
100disputed or debunked
364withdrawn
4,344single source
1,893unverified

1,135 (14%) were corroborated by an independent source or confirmed, a median of 2 hours after the first report. 20 (under 1%) reached corroborated or confirmed only when the same reports were rated again (changed rules or ratings, or a new review), with no new source: they are not counted as having held up. 100 (1%) were contradicted: marked disputed or debunked. 364 (5%) were withdrawn as out of scope or on review. 4,344 (55%) rest on one credible source, and 1,893 (24%) on no credible source: anonymous or partisan channels only, however many. Neither group has been confirmed or contradicted, which does not make them wrong.

Not counted: 1,204 leads, reposts by aggregator channels that name no source.

Audit log

Each change of state, newest first, in UTC, with why it changed; withdrawn events are not named, and recording began 2026-10-26 19:13 UTC.

Since 2026-10-26: 1,577 moves up to corroborated or confirmed on new reports or evidence; besides, 109 reclassified by changes to the rules, ratings or settings (changes to the rules); 33 by the automated review or on review; 13 re-ratings of the same reports whose cause was not recorded. 295 moves down a level.

  1. Pakistan's UN envoy calls for immediate end to Houthi attacks on Saudi ArabiaUnverified to Single sourcenew report
  2. Houthis say they fired several ballistic missiles at a Saudi military unit in LahijUnverified to Single sourcenew report
  3. Explosions heard in Jask, Iran; Hormozgan governor reports no impactsDisputed to Corroboratednew report
  4. Houthis claim ballistic missile attack on National Security Forces camp at Ras Abbas, AdenSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  5. Artillery shelling reported at Maifadoun outskirts, attributed to Israeli forcesUnverified to Single sourcenew report
  6. Israeli forces reportedly infiltrate Jubata al-Khashab village in Quneitra, SyriaSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  7. Intelligence chiefs of Egypt, Turkey and Qatar reportedly met in Cairo on GazaSingle source to Corroboratednew report
  8. Explosions heard in Jask, Iran; Hormozgan governor reports no impactsCorroborated to Disputednew report
  9. Israeli army reportedly carrying out demolition operation east of Gaza CitySingle source to Corroboratednew report
  10. Palestinian reportedly wounded by Israeli forces fire during incursion in Jaba, south of JeninUnverified to Corroboratednew report

Changes to the rules

When the rules change, stored events are rated again on the same reports: a reclassification, not new evidence, counted apart above.

  1. Party rule. A party's statement about its own strikes, its interceptions or the enemy's losses no longer confirms an event; a neutral body, an authority's own record or an admission against interest still does.0 up, 61 down
  2. Strong-origin corroboration. An established or stronger origin plus any second independent one corroborates (before, the weights had to add up to 1.2); the stored weak events with two or more origins were rated again.106 up, 0 down

Air-traffic signals withdrawn or lowered

Drops in air traffic are detected by machine from ADS-B counts; one that rests on poor receiver coverage, or claims more than its evidence allows, is withdrawn or lowered.

  1. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-08 05:52 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 19, lowest 17) for high confidence
  2. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-06 22:35 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 16, lowest 4 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  3. Israel airspace, drop detected 2026-11-06 20:05 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 17, lowest 3 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  4. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-02 22:35 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 19, lowest 14) for high confidence
  5. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-11-02 22:35 UTCConfidence high to mediumThe usual hour here holds too few aircraft (median 29, lowest 8) for high confidence
  6. Kuwait airspace, drop detected 2026-10-31 20:24 UTCConfidence medium to lowThe usual hour here is too thin (median 12, lowest 4 aircraft entering) for more than low confidence
  7. Qatar airspace, drop detected 2026-10-30 09:57 UTCConfidence high to mediumNo airspace closure notice in force covers it, and a fall in the aircraft counted entering a FIR is never high confidence alone
  8. Iraq airspace, drop detected 2026-10-30 12:36 UTCWithdrawnOur receivers' coverage of the Baghdad FIR (ORBB) is thin: 69% of the polls over the 7 days before saw no aircraft inside it. A fall in the aircraft counted there is not evidence of a closure

Page built 2026-11-13 20:31 UTC · Last updated 2026-11-13 20:31 UTC · Read at 2026-11-13 20:31 UTC